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【黄岛商科讲坛-第157期】Transshipment with Overconfidence

作者:姜少慧责任编辑:姜少慧审核人:白洋时间:2026-05-07浏览:50


时  间:512 14:00

地  点:文理楼580

嘉  宾:Xuan Zhao   Wilfrid Laurier University

报告摘要:

Overconfidence is a key behavioral factor in transshipment, but its operational impacts are rarely explored. We establish an analytical framework and conduct laboratory experiments to study this bias. Our results show that decentralized transshipment can outperform centralized ones when newsvendors are sufficiently overconfident, as overconfidence offsets decentralization inefficiency. We also find coordinating transfer prices do not exist under high overconfidence, and system performance depends on strategic alignment of transfer prices with profit margins. These findings provide insights for designing behavioral-robust transshipment contracts.

嘉宾简介:

Dr. Zhao is a Professor and Lazaridis Research Chair in Supply Chain Innovation at Wilfrid Laurier University, holding a Ph.D. in Management Science and Transportation/Logistics. Her research focuses on supply chain management, behavioral operations, revenue management, etc., with papers published in top journals in operations and marketing. Her research is supported by Canadian research councils, enabling her to supervise numerous post-docs and students. She serves as Associate Editor for several journals and is an Adjunct Professor at the University of Waterloo.


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